Friday, March 6, 2020

Biden's Brain On Biden: Cognitive Decline In Press Coverage

Back in August, Democratic presidential candidate Joe Biden appeared at Living History Farms in Urbandale, Iowa and reminisced about "when Bobby Kennedy and Dr. King had been assassinated in the '70s, late seventies." King and Kennedy had been in the ground for a decade by the late '70s and as stupid things Joe Biden says go, this was a very minor example but I made note of something that, at the time, was becoming as much of a pattern as those stupidities. On Facebook, I wrote
"This happened on Tuesday but playing with Google a bit, the story has been covered by Fox News, the Washington Free Beacon, the Washington Examiner, the Daily Caller, Breitbart, the Western Journalism Center--all hard-right outlets that would be expected to hype any bad news about some Democrat. From my Google searches, which used keywords then the exact Biden quote, it looks like almost no one else has covered it."
A Mediaite article was the only coverage I found from a non-hard-right outlet.
"This isn't a new phenomenon. The same thing initially happened when Biden recently described having given a speech in Burlington, Vermont when, in fact, he'd given it only a few days earlier in Burlington, Iowa. The corporate press is covering for Biden... The press does the public a grave disservice when it behaves in this way. But that, which is really obvious, doesn't even begin to cover this problem of multinationals manipulating public opinion."
The evidence that Biden has suffered serious cognitive impairment has been quite abundant since he entered the presidential race last year. In a lengthy article in August about Biden's history, I described him as "a real mess--confused, forgetful, stumbling over words and slurring them like a drunk, displaying lots of arrogance and bluster but no command of basic facts, including those regarding 'his' proposals, which are clearly as much a mystery to him as to everyone else..." The January introduction to the Extra Newsfeed version of that article focused on only a few weeks of Biden's constant blunders. By no means comprehensive even within its limited timeframe, it ran long enough that it was almost an article unto itself. Biden can sometimes appear relatively lucid when tightly scripted and well-rehearsed but get him speaking off the top of his head and he loses names, events, can't correctly remember even relatively recent things. At his worst--which, disturbingly, is where one finds him as often as not--he can barely form coherent words, can barely marshal the words he can manage into coherent sentences and doesn't even seem to know where he is; he can talk for minutes at a time without it being at all clear what he's trying to say or what he's even talking about. His habit in recent months of trying to speak at a faster clip and often yelling--a poor effort to simulate Bernie Sanders' passionate delivery--have made it even worse.

Compounding this further still is the fact that Biden, even back when he was firing on all cylinders, was both an imbecile and an inveterate liar, in the habit of regularly saying mindnumbingly stupid things and fond of concocting elaborate, dramatic--or melodramatic--fictions, often casting himself in an heroic or visionary role. For example, right-wing writer Byron York was only exaggerating a little when he wrote in February that Biden has, throughout the campaign, "tried to take credit for virtually every other candidates' initiatives, which he claimed to have accomplished himself at some distant point during his 40-plus year career in government." Sometimes, it's hard to know which of these dynamics are in play or to what extent.


The corporate press has reacted to all of this in a few ways. The first and most common is to simply ignore it. Biden says these things and most of them either aren't covered at all or receive so little coverage they may as well not have even been mentioned. The next is occasionally covering them but presenting them as merely "gaffes," like some perhaps charming personality quirk rather than a sign of a serious problem. Still another, a subset of that last, is going "horserace" on this, presenting Biden "gaffes" as something that is only of concern in that it could potentially hinder Biden's efforts to defeat Trump. Sometimes, press figures concede there may be a problem but, in the end, make nothing of it--the thought just comes, goes and is gone. Perhaps the most disturbing press reaction has involved attacking those who raise questions about Biden's cognitive abilities. That isn't just covering for Biden; that's actively trying to suppress discussion of the matter. This isn't a story of anecdotes about Biden fumbles though; there's an ongoing narrative in this, Biden's apparently significant cognitive decline. That would be a major recurring theme in any responsible press coverage of Biden's campaign, the thing that, if treated seriously, would overwhelm everything else. Something on which Democrats, Republicans, third-party supporters, liberals conservatives, radicals, reactionaries, even people completely indifferent to politics--everyone--can agree is that "President of the United States" isn't a job for a congenitally dishonest half-wit with a broken brain. Yet that ongoing narrative, looking at this as a serious matter, is completely absent from the corporate press. It hasn't appeared in a single major outlet.

On 24 February, only days before the South Carolina primary, Biden appeared at the Democratic party's First in the South Dinner and boldly declared
"My name is Joe Biden. I'm a Democratic candidate for the United States Senate! Look me over. If you like what you see, help out. If not, vote for the other Biden! Give me a look tough."
This is the sort of thing that could end a campaign, particularly coming after nearly a year of constant comments like that from Biden, but the press hasn't told the public that story and it didn't tell the public this one either. A Google search for the quote turns up articles in a wide range of noxious right-wing outlets--the New York Post, the Washington Examiner, Sean Hannity's site, the Federalist, Fox News, the Daily Caller, Breitbart, etc.--but the "mainstream" press mostly just sat on it. As usual.[1] Biden the "candidate for the United States Senate," went on to win the South Carolina primary on Saturday.

In the course of his victory speech, Biden was trying to promote the state's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate and said, "Folks, now we need to stand behind Jaime Harrison, the next President of the United--," then caught himself and fell back to "next senator." At the Democratic debate in Houston in September, Biden referred to his rival Sen. Bernie Sanders as "the president." In that same debate, he declared, "I'm the Vice President of the United States." Mike Pence is still laughing over that one.[2] In the November Democratic debate, Biden referred to Cory Booker as "the president, excuse me, the future president" before settling on "the senator."

At that September debate--5 months into the campaign--Biden forgot the names of both Elizabeth Warren and Pete Buttigieg, then two of his major rivals. In October in South Carolina, Biden renamed rival Julian Castro:
"...even though that I’m the only campaign that I’m aware of--maybe, maybe Cisneros's campaign is doing it, I’m not sur--but, um, or Castro's campaign is doing it... The, um, fact is that we have reached out extensively into the African-- excuse me, into the Hispanic community and the Latino community over my entire career."
Last Spring, Biden referred to British Prime Minister Theresa May as "Margaret Thatcher." Thatcher hasn't been the Prime Minister for 30 years and hadn't been alive for over six. In August, he was talking about how European leaders had spoken out against Donald Trump's comments that there were "very fine people" participating in a neo-Nazi parade in Virginia and named Thatcher as doing so.[3] In September, he referred to Donald Trump as "Donald Hump." The day after his South Carolina victory, he appeared on Fox News and, in an interview in which he mocked Donald Trump's assertion that he was senile, he referred to interviewer Chris Wallace as "Chuck," an apparent reference to Meet the Press host Chuck Todd. On 24 February, Biden was telling an audience at the College of Charleston in South Carolina about his role in helping negotiate the Paris Climate Agreement:
"One of the things I'm proudest of is getting passed, getting moved, get- getting control of the Paris Climate Accord. I'm the guy that came back after meeting with Deng Xiaoping and making the case that I believe China would join if we put pressure on them."
The Paris Agreement was drafted in 2015; Deng Xiaoping retired as the Chinese head of state in 1992 and had been dead for nearly 20 years by the time of the Paris Agreement.[4] Biden has made Obama nostalgia the major selling-point of his campaign but in an appearance in August, he forgot even Obama's name.

At a Monday rally in Houston on the verge of Super Tuesday, Biden said, "Look, tomorrow's Super Thurs... Tuesday." He also began to quote the Declaration of Independence and forgot the words.
"We hold these truths to be self-evident. All men and women created by the, y'know, you know the thing."
While the press ignored this, Twitter suspended progressive journalist Jordan Chariton's account for accurately quoting Biden's "Super Thursday" line, asserting that Chariton had violated Twitter's rules by posting "false information about voting or registering to vote." Chariton's suspension, which was lifted after a furor by Twitter users, didn't make any big headlines either.

Early August saw two mass shootings in the U.S.. A day after the 2nd one, Biden was speaking at one of his endless fundraisers--this one in San Diego--and referred to "the tragic events in Houston today and also in Michigan the day before." But the shootings happened in El Paso, Texas and Dayton, Ohio. Biden described how the survivors of the Parkland massacre had come to see him when he was Vice President but that shooting happened over a year after Biden had left office. At the Democrats' South Carolina debate last week, Biden attempted to attack Bernie Sanders on the question of gun control. This is what came out:
"One hundred and fifty million people have been killed since 2007, when Bernie voted to exempt the gun manufacturers from liability. More than all the wars, including Vietnam, from that point on."
That would be nearly half the population of the United States. No one corrected him.

In August, Biden recalled the 1970 Kent State massacre: "You had over 40 kids shot at Kent State on a beautiful lawn by the National Guard." Only 13 kids were shot at Kent State. At the Worker's Presidential Summit in Philadelphia in September, Biden said:
"You get a tax break for a racehorse, why in God's name couldn't we provide an $8,000 tax credit for everybody who has childcare costs? It would put 720 million women back in the workforce."
There are only 165.92 million women in the United States and only 327 million people.

Biden opposes the Medicare For All healthcare plan and has, in fact, employed the same rhetoric against it as Donald Trump but during the September debate, Biden described "his" healthcare plan: "[T]he option I’m proposing is Medicare For All"  before catching and correcting himself and retreating to "Medicare For Choice." This is how he described it:
"If you want Medicare, if you lose the job from your insurance-- from your employer, you automatically can buy into this. You don't have-- no pre-existing condition can stop you from buying in. You get covered, period."
Minutes later, Julian Castro noted that his own plan doesn’t require a buy-in and contrasted this with Biden's, at which point the former Vice President insisted the Biden plan, contrary to his own clear words only minutes earlier, didn't require a buy-in either. It led to a testy exchange in which Castro challenged, "Are you forgetting what you said two minutes ago?"

The allusion to Biden’s obviously impaired cognitive state brought gasps from the audience. In a gruesome twist, it also netted Castro a few days of negative press. Former Clintonite-right Chicago mayor Rahm Emanuel immediately declared Castro "mean and vindictive" and his comments "disqualifying." Democratic contender Amy Klobuchar wagged her finger at Castro on CNN:
"I just thought this was not cool. I thought that was so personal and so unnecessary."
Former Michigan governor Jennifer Granholm, also appearing on CNN, called Castro's comments "a low blow." It gets worse. Though Castro was entirely correct about what Biden had said, the press began insisting he'd been wrong. Politifact ran a story that confirmed Biden's plan was an "opt-in" plan, completely ignored the fact that Biden had repeatedly said people had to "buy in" to it (even while quoting Biden as doing so) and ruled Castro's comments "Mostly False." Along similar lines, USA Today said, "Castro Appears To Misrepresent Biden's Health Care Plan During Debate." The Washington Post's Jennifer Rubin tweeted that "Castro was wrong AND nasty." The Post ran an analysis similar to that of Politifact wherein Amber Phillips noted that Biden had said his plan required a buy-in but trashed Castro anyway because at a different point in the debate, Biden had said people who qualified for his plan would be automatically enrolled in it.
"Biden didn’t actually forget anything... Castro might take issue with the fact some people do have to buy in. (Biden said earlier that if you lose your job and need new insurance, you could buy in to this.) But he was incorrect that Biden forgot something about his own plan. It was Castro who forgot what Biden said."
If Phillips thought the fact that Biden had offered contradictory explanations of his own plan raised some legitimate questions or ever questioned the propriety of attacking Castro for getting Biden's plan wrong when Biden himself had misstated it, she didn't share it with her readers.

Biden's cognitive abilities had become a whale in the room by this point. The message from the press treatment of Castro was, "Don't even talk about it. Or else."

In August, Biden recalled making a speech a few days earlier in Vermont, when he'd actually made the speech in question in Iowa. Ten days later, Biden was in Keene, New Hampshire and said, "I love this place. Look, what’s not to like about Vermont in terms of the beauty of it?" In his speech in the aftermath of the New Hampshire primary, Biden said, "It is important that Iowa and Nevada have spoken," but it was New Hampshire that had just "spoken." The Nevada caucus was still several days away. Biden continued with, "But look, we need to hear from Nevada and South Carolina and Super Tuesday and beyond."

This is Biden from the November debate talking about violence against women:
"No man has a right to raise a hand to a woman in anger... So we have to just change the culture, period, and keep punching at it and punching it and punching at it."
That's not from a Saturday Night Live skit, though it did get some uncomfortable laughs. Biden didn't even seem to realize he'd said anything inappropriate.

At that same debate, Biden was asked how he would get intransigent Republicans to work with him and replied,
"[L]ook, the next President of the United States is going to have to do two things. Defeat Donald Trump, that’s number one."
This echoed an answer Biden had given in the June debate, when Chuck Todd has asked the candidates what would be the first issue they pushed if elected; Biden replied, "the first thing I would do is make sure that we defeat Donald Trump." Presumably, Biden plans to win the presidency then, some time after the inauguration, drag Trump into some alley and administer this.


In a CNN interview in July, Biden offered some comments on Russian interference in elections:
"Look at what's happening with Putin. While he-- while Putin is trying to undo our elections, he is undoing elections in-- in Europe. Look at what's happened in Hungary; look what's happened in Poland; look what's happened to Moldova. Look what's happening. You think that would have happened under my watch or Barack’s watch? You can’t answer that but I promise you it wouldn't have and it didn't."
Does it really need to be pointed out that any Russian interference that happened in the 2016 presidential race in the U.S.--the interference over which Clintonite-right figures like Biden spent years publicly obsessing--happened entirely under the Obama/Biden administration?

When speaking without a strict script, Biden veers from unfocused, inarticulate, contradictory and chronically dishonest to outright bizarre, ludicrous and almost entirely incomprehensible. Grabien put together a series of quick clips of Biden from the January debate that helps illustrate what a chore it can be to even listen to him. In December, the New York Times reported of Biden,
"He takes circuitous routes to the ends of sentences, if he finishes them at all. He sometimes says the opposite of what he means ('I would eliminate the capital gains tax--I would raise the capital gains tax' he said in this month’s debate). He has mixed up countries, cities and dates, embarked on off-message asides and sometimes he simply cuts himself off."
The Times presents this as merely a "style" of speaking and as something that could hinder Biden's campaign, instead of really glaring signs of an obvious problem.[5] And it's quite a problem. Biden doesn't just make the occasional hash of things. He can--and regularly does--ramble on for extended periods without ever making any clear point about the subject on which he theoretically began to speak. Or about any other. For all of Biden's many preexisting faults, this is something that has only emerged during the presidential campaign. Watching video of him from only 6 years ago, when he used clear words to speak in complete sentences, offered complete thoughts in ordinary tones, makes for a remarkable contrast.[6]

Most experienced politicians know what to do when confronted with a skeptical but non-hostile voter. Be friendly, address their concerns as best you can, tell them you hope you can win their vote and wish them well. When, during the present presidential campaign, Biden meets such voters, he becomes standoffish, belligerent, dismissive, blowing off their concerns and telling them to vote for someone else, sometimes putting his hands on them in an aggressive manner. During a November appearance by Biden in South Carolina, a member of an immigrant support network asked Biden a question of suspending deportations of undocumented immigrants; Biden shot back, "Well, you should vote for Trump. You should vote for Trump." As a December event in Iowa, a voter questioned Biden's age and about the propriety of his son Hunter's work in Ukraine. Biden exploded. "You're a damn liar, man." Biden called the fellow old and fat and challenged him to, in succession, a push-up contest, a running contest and an IQ test. When video of the incident emerged, it managed to get some negative press. The Biden campaign later denied Biden had called the fellow "fat"--though it was clear from the video Biden did that very thing--and claimed he had said "facts" (he hadn't). That same month, Biden was asked by an environmental activist about one of his climate policy advisers, who has taken millions from the fossil fuel industry. Biden's response (grabbing the man's shoulders and getting in his face): "If you looked at my record and you still doubt about my commitment, then you should vote for somebody else." In Des Moines in January, Biden became angry with a man who had some questions about environmental policy; Biden poked his finger in the man's chest, grabbed the man by the jacket, told him "you have to go vote for someone else."

After the December "fat" confrontation, Biden adviser Symone Sanders tried to put a positive spin on it:
"If anybody's wondering if Joe Biden can take on Donald Trump and is ready for a fight, I'd point you to the video in Iowa."
Yes, a thin-skinned candidate is definitely who should take on Trump, an opponent who will never mock or rib him. And Biden is so thoughtful, articulate and well-spoken, it's clear those who argue Trump would chop him up for dog-food on a debate stage are just a bunch of silly-billys.

Biden's efforts to ingratiate himself with black voters have taken cynicism to an all-new level, even for American politics, but like everything else, they've also raised serious questions about his cognitive abilities.

Biden staked his presidential campaign on a big win in South Carolina, where the population is disproportionately elderly, conservative and black. On 28 February, Biden told a crowd of supporters in the state that "I'm looking forward to appointing the first African-American woman to the United States Senate!" Presidents don't appoint senators though, and two black women have already served in the body anyway. At the November debate, Biden bragged about his black support. "I have more people supporting me in the black community that have vouched for me because they know who I am... The only blafrican-American [sic] woman who's ever been elected to the United States Senate." Kamala Harris, a black woman elected to the Senate who had, by then, been running against Biden for 7 months, who certainly hadn't endorsed him and who was, in fact, standing on the same stage as he, was amused.

At an October townhall event in South Carolina, Biden told a crowd of black students that he attended an historically black college.
"I got started out at an HBCU, Delaware State. Now I don’t want to hear anything negative about Delaware State here. They’re my folks."
Biden never attended Delaware State.

On 11 February, he told another South Carolina crowd that in the 1970s, he "had the great honor of being arrested with our U.N. ambassador" in apartheid South Africa while trying to get to see the imprisoned Nelson Mandela. Five days later, Biden told another crowd,
"After [Mandela] got free and became president [of South Africa], he came to Washington and came to my office. He threw his arms around me and said, 'I want to say thank you.' I said, 'What are you thanking me for, Mr. President?' He said: 'You tried to see me. You got arrested trying to see me.'"
Every part of this story turned out to be a lie. Biden had never been arrested. Andrew Young, the then-Ambassador to South Africa, said it never happened. Soweto, where Biden claimed he was arrested, is nearly 900 miles from Robben Island, where Mandela was held. Biden had never mentioned any such arrest in any of his recollections of that trip. By the end of February, Biden had admitted it never happened but claimed he was referring to an incident in Lesotho in which
"They had me get off a plane--the Afrikaners got on in the short pants and their guns. Lead me off first and moved me in a direction totally different. I turned around and everybody, the entire black delegation, was going another way. I said, 'I'm not going to go in that door that says white only. I’m going with them.' They said, 'You're not, you can't move, you can't go with them.' And they kept me there until finally I decided that it was clear I wasn’t going to move."
The Washington Post contacted Don Bonker, who had, at the time, been a congressman who was with Biden on the trip in question. Bonker says he "strongly supports" Biden's current presidential race but he also refuted this new claim, saying "We had no problem with airports at any of the countries we visited." Lesotho is an independent nation and wasn't an apartheid state. Even the Post's Clintonite-right "fact-checker" Glenn Kessler had to concede Biden's claims were "ridiculous."

A fact that was sent down the media Memory Hole decades ago was that, for many years, Biden falsely claimed to have been an activist involved in the civil rights movement.
"'When I marched in the civil rights movement, I did not march with a 12-point program,' Mr. Biden thundered, testing his presidential message in February 1987 before a New Hampshire audience. 'I marched with tens of thousands of others to change attitudes. And we changed attitudes.'

"More than once, advisers had gently reminded Mr. Biden of the problem with this formulation: He had not actually marched during the civil rights movement. And more than once, Mr. Biden assured them he understood--and kept telling the story anyway."
This blew up in his face during his first presidential campaign that year, when it was revealed he'd been plagiarizing speeches for years, lifting dramatic biographical details from the lives of others and presenting them as his own, lying about his poor, sometimes scandalous academic record and he admitted he'd had no involvement at all in civil rights.
"''During the 60's, I was, in fact, very concerned about the civil rights movement,' he said. But at another point he said, 'I was not an activist,' adding:

"'I worked at an all-black swimming pool in the east side of Wilmington, Del. I was involved in what they were thinking, what they were feeling. But I was not out marching. I was not down in not out marching. I was not down in Selma. I was not anywhere else. I was a suburbanite kid who got a dose of exposure to what was happening to black Americans.'"
Biden's first campaign ended in scandal over these issues. Fast-forward to 2014: Biden gives a speech to a King Day breakfast for the National Action Network and revives his old lies, presenting himself as a civil rights activist again, telling tales he'd never told in his life:
"I got involved in desegregating movie theaters and helping, you may remember, Reverend Moyer in Delaware and Herman Holloway, organized voter registration drives--coming out of Black churches on Sunday--figuring how we were going to move."
Fast-forward again to December 2019: Biden is embroiled in a primary battle against Bernie Sanders, who actually did participate in the civil rights struggle. This was probably regarded as problematic, particularly given the fact that Biden spent much of the 1970s as a segregationist, a fact his rival Kamala Harris publicly noted in July, and his decades pushing for right-wing "tough on crime" policies that devastated communities of color. Not a good look for someone trying to enlist communities of color to support his candidacy. Whatever the thinking, Biden revived this nonsense, claiming he'd become a part of the civil rights movement when he was 17 and telling tales of having gotten up for early Mass then going to a black church to discuss what kind of anti-segregation actions he and his companions were going to undertake. The black church in which he says this took place has changed with different tellings and all of the other details Biden has offered are wrong. Bernie Sanders surrogate Shaun King deserves the credit for exposing this and resurrecting Biden's history of false claims in this matter, which, King documents, go back to at least 1975. His article, "2 Truths & 31 Lies Joe Biden Has Told About His Work in the Civil Rights Movement" is, one must concede, a bit sloppily written but is full of details, videos, old press clippings documenting this appalling story, which should have caused a major scandal and killed Biden's campaign in its tracks. Instead, the press sat on it. It was barely reported at all.

How much of this sordid faux-history can one attribute to Biden's various shortcomings? The decade-plus of lies Biden told about being involved in the civil rights movement are products of both his penchant for manufacturing dramatic narratives in which he is the hero and his idiocy but eventually, in 1987, he fessed up and walked away from the false narrative. He stayed away from it for decades. Then, during the present campaign, he returns to and expands upon it. Idiocy, or a sign of his mental decline?

When considering Biden for the presidency, does it really matter which of these three traits are at work here and in everything else I've just outlined and to what degrees? Are any of them desirable in a president? Is it wise to elect someone to be President of the United States who so prominently displays all three? Because if it is, the current occupant of the White House has that on his side too.

Those around Biden understand these problems. From the beginning, they've mostly kept him off the campaign trail. The lack of enthusiasm for his campaign killed his grassroots fundraising efforts months ago. From early on, his campaign has been dependent on a relative handful of big-money donors and Biden was holding more fundraisers than campaign events. In October, as his campaign funds dwindled, Biden, who had been publicly discouraging assistance from super PACs in an effort to attract some of those populist Bernie vibes, dropped even that show of opposition. A string of Biden "gaffes" in August that managed to get some coverage sharpened fears among his allies that these, if ever given the proper attention by the press, could develop into a narrative about his cognitive state. Their solution wasn't to find a better candidate who didn't raise those concerns but to cynically suggest further limiting Biden's campaigning.

The corporate press has helped. The phenomenon outlined here offers a preview of any general election campaign featuring Biden. An inarticulate Biden says ridiculous, contradictory, insane, mind-melting things, much of major media ignores it or exercises comically undue restraint in reporting it, while overt rightist and far-right publications absolutely marinate in it. Except during a general election, Trump, the Republicans and their supporters wouldn't allow this to be swept under the rug. It is, in fact, reasonable to assume they'll do everything they can to make sure every news cycle is dominated by some new brain-breaking thing Biden has said. The past 11 months have made clear that Biden will provide a steady supply.[7] Consider this: Biden is the only Democratic candidate who, after months of this, could eventually convince millions of reasonable people who outright despise Trump and wouldn't ordinarily even think of voting for him that Trump is actually the safe, responsible choice.

South Carolina was 4 contests into Joe Biden's third presidential run over a 32-year period but it was the first time he'd won a single state (and he was 3 contests into the current race before he'd ever won a single delegate). In none of his previous efforts was he brought down by any opponent; in both, he buried himself. Prior to South Carolina, it looked as if Biden was on his way out, falling before progressive rival Bernie Sanders. He took South Carolina because while the press sits on much of what has been covered here--and so, so much more--it despises Sanders and tried to bury him. While Sanders was winning contests, his lack of "electability" and the idea that he would cost Democrats the congress were presented, hour after hour across national media outlets, as givens. Major media figures felt entirely comfortable repeatedly comparing the Jewish candidate to the rise of Nazism. Then, with no sense of self-awareness, they also compared him to plagues, disasters, etc. A major theme was to portray Sanders as an apologist for Marxist dictatorships, particularly the former Castro regime in Cuba. It was suggested that if Sanders the socialist won, there may be executions of dissidents in New York's Central Park. And so on. This endless campaign of defamation was the dominant news media narrative for three weeks, then, once this helped Biden to victory in South Carolina,[8] the press held a triumph and treated the former Vice President as the Comeback Kid and conquering hero for 3 days. By one estimate, Biden, within that time, was given $71,992,629 in almost entirely positive media coverage.[9] Throw in local media in the Super Tuesday markets and this goes over $100 million.[10] Until his South Carolina win, Biden hadn't campaigned in a single Super Tuesday state for over a month. When he won big on Super Tuesday, MSNBC's Brian Williams, again without any self-awareness, marveled that Biden could do so well in so many states in which he didn't even have a campaign office.[11]

Multinational media corporations with an ideological animosity toward progressives are once again working to foist on the public another weak, loser candidate, in this case one whose candidacy would be regarded in any sane media environment as, at best, a tragic farce. The likely reelection of Trump if they succeed isn't remotely the biggest challenge posed to liberal democracy by the constant efforts by a handful of powerful companies to manipulate public opinion but so much of the press not only refusing to inform the public about Biden but throwing its weight behind such a candidacy represents a fundamental breakdown of journalism.

--j.

---

  [1] Reuters circulated the video of the incident. Newsweek reported it but attempted a bizarre defense of Biden, saying some journalists and Biden supporters had argued that his remark "has been taken out of context. They say he is simply offering a rhetorical comparison to voters--between his decades as a U.S. senator versus the presidential candidate he is today."

Yeah, it's that bad.

 [2] In Iowa in November, Biden said a series of green initiatives are "what the president and I" are proposing, as if he thought he was still in office.

 [3] At the same event at which Biden did this the second time, he talked about using biofuels to power "steamships" and proclaimed "poor kids are just as bright and just as talented as white kids!"

 [4] At a campaign event in October, Biden was apparently trying to reference the Paris Climate Agreement when he said:
"I'm going to make sure we rejoin the Paris Peace Accord on day one and I’m going to announce within the first 100 days, those 173 nations are going to come and meet in Washington, D.C. to up the ante."
The Paris Peace Accord was the agreement that ended the Vietnam War in 1973.

 [5] The Times also made an error regarding the Biden comment it quoted; it happened at the October debate, not in December. Biden said,
"I would eliminate the capital gains tax that-- I would raise the capital gains tax to the highest rate of 39.5%...  Why in God’s name should someone who’s clipping coupons in the stock market make… in fact, pay a lower tax rate than someone who, in fact, is… like I said, a school teacher and a firefighter?"
Those high-powered Wall Street traders are real coupon-clippers, aren't they?

 [6] For a really sharp contrast, watch any one of Biden's dreary debate performances of this cycle and compare them to Biden's 2012 debate with then-Republican Vice Presidential candidate Paul Ryan, which is available on Youtube.

 [7] While Sanders has a large, active, enthusiastic movement behind him, Biden has nothing of the sort. Nominating him would alienate the activist base of the party that has worked for years to elect a progressive and while Trump and the Republicans would be promoting every Biden brain-breaker, they'd also be forcing into public light Biden's long, conservative record, which the press has also mostly swept under the rug during the primaries. Trump can actually run to Biden's left on issues like trade, just as he did with Clinton, but the real damage done by forcing disclosure of Biden's anti-progressive history is to further suppress the vote among an already-demoralized progressive base.

 [8] Biden held a huge lead in South Carolina for months but prior to the worst of this slander, Sanders had been catching him. Concurrent with the attacks on Sanders in the week leading into the vote, Biden experienced a massive burst of support. By 22 February, Sanders' polling average in the state sat at 21% vs. Biden at 23.3%. Between then and 29 February, Sanders flat-lined and Biden skyrocketed to 39.7%.

 [9] The Super Tuesday exit-polling showed what has become a trend. "Late deciders"--low-information voters who are most susceptible to these media narratives--broke heavily for Biden. The Washington Post reports that
"Late deciders heavily backed Biden, according to exit poll results, an indication of how much he was boosted by his resounding South Carolina victory and late endorsements by Klobuchar and Buttigieg.

"Exit polls showed Biden won roughly 6 in 10 primary voters who decided in the last few days in Virginia, Tennessee and Alabama, and won about half of this group in Maine, Texas and Minnesota. Sanders won no more than 3 in 10 late deciders in any state except his home state of Vermont, where Sanders and Biden ran about even."
This accounted for Biden's margin of victory in those states--most of the states he won.

[10] To put that $100 million+ in perspective, that's more, in only 3 days, than the combination of all super PACs have spent in the entire 2020 cycle to date:


[11] In most of the commentary on this, it's assumed that Biden's lack of campaign appearances is because of a lack of money but it's also part of the same effort to hide Biden from the public that we've seen all along. Even in the early stages of the campaign when he had money, he'd never done many campaign appearances, never many interviews; in the debates so far, he's been just one candidate on a crowded stage and only has to speak for, cumulatively, a few minutes. He's kept away from the public because of how badly he comes off when he's put before it. His campaign is banking on his being able to skate through the primaries on name-recognition/Obama nostalgia and just want to keep him from torpedoing himself. His Super Tuesday victories will bring in a fresh wave of money from well-heeled donors but his campaign schedule is likely to remain as nearly non-existent as possible.

---

ADDENDUM
Some who, on social media, comment on  Biden's cognitive problems have called them "dementia" or have suggested Alzheimer's or some other disorder may be in play. I'm not qualified to render any such diagnosis and neither are most of them. In my view, they do their concerns an unnecessary disservice by playing amateur physician. Biden's problems are quite obvious to anyone who listens to him and will harm him without regard for what what medicine may call them.

At the same time, Biden's supporters have sometimes tried to deflect concerns over this matter by labeling those who raise them "ableist," based on the fact that when young, Biden had a stuttering problem. But a stutter doesn't cause his regular habit of crafting complex but entirely false narratives, it doesn't give him his thin skin or generate his hostile attitude toward skeptical voters, it isn't the culprit behind his inability to properly recall even very recent events or to complete sentences or not to contradict himself within the same sentence. It isn't what makes him go off on tangents unrelated to the subject he's supposed to be discussing until that subject is long lost. It doesn't make his English so often seem like a badly-learned second language. It can't make him forget Obama's name. It doesn't explain anything covered here. And in any event, stuttering hasn't been an issue for Biden since long before most people reading these words today were alive. Biden himself has specifically denied any of this is because of a stutter.

Finally, some have suggested compassion for Biden and a sense of moral outrage at elements of the press and Democratic Establishment for exploiting him, an obviously unsuitable candidate for the presidency, to try to defeat a progressive challenge. The moral outrage is certainly appropriate but while I'd never want to discourage compassion--something of which the world could use a lot more--I would argue there really isn't any grounds for feeling bad for Biden. He isn't a victim here. He's a deplorable person who, for personal advancement and the checks from his well-heeled donors, has devoted his life to pushing policies that harmed his fellow Americans. His present campaign is par for the course.

Monday, January 13, 2020

Politico Slams Sanders Campaign As Participating in 2020 Primaries (Updated Below)

Regular readers of this blog will have no doubt noted this author's rather profound disdain for Politico's treatment of Bernie Sanders. In the publication's "coverage" of the Vermont senator, every journalistic standard is routinely disregarded in what appears to any reasonable observer to be little more than a recurring effort to craft the crassest anti-Sanders propaganda and pass it off as "news."

They're at it again. Their latest anti-Bernie Sanders "scoop" landed this week, "Bernie Campaign Slams Warren As Candidate of the Elite."


Throughout the present presidential campaign, Sanders has refused to attack rival Elizabeth Warren. Even when repeatedly prompted to do so by "journalists," his answer was always the same: No. Warren, he said, is his longtime friend and political ally and he's not going to do that. He has even defended her. Warren has embraced the same policy toward Sanders.

Enter Politico's Alex Thompson and Holly Otterbein:
"Sanders' campaign has begun stealthily attacking Warren as a candidate of the upper crust who could not expand the Democratic base in a general election, according to talking points his campaign is using to sway voters and obtained by POLITICO."
At issue is this script allegedly provided by the Sanders campaign to its volunteers:
"The script instructs Sanders volunteers to tell voters leaning toward the Massachusetts senator that the 'people who support her are highly-educated, more affluent people who are going to show up and vote Democratic no matter what' and that 'she's bringing no new bases into the Democratic Party.'"
Right off the bat, it should be noted that, based on the description of the script provided by Thompson/Otterbein, the characterization of it as an attack is strictly tendentious. The script is complimentary toward Warren ("'I like Elizabeth Warren. [optional]' the script begins. 'In fact, she’s my second choice...'"). Polling extending back several months establishes that Warren supporters are all of the things it says. There have been a large volume of articles written on the subject. Back in July, Politico itself produced one of them. Its author was--wait for it--Holly Otterbein. The script accurately describes the following Warren has drawn. The data are entirely uncontroversial, the concerns they raise perfectly legitimate. In a sane world, drawing such contrasts would be seen as what it is: the entire point of a political primary.

Incredibly, at no point do Thompson and Otterbein offer any information on the provenance of the alleged script, not even to cite an anonymous source. From whence did it come? Was there any vetting of this source and if so, what was it? The article is silent. Which volunteers were supposed to be getting and using the script? Where is it being used? How widespread is its use? Not only does the article fail to address any of these questions--the script, in its telling, is just something from somewhere--it suggests that the authors don't even know.
"It is unclear whether the script is being used for phone calls or door knocking or both, or in which locations."
Throughout their piece, Thompson and Otterbein flat-out say this entirely unsourced script is being used by the Sanders campaign but can't actually document its use anywhere, and aren't even sure what it is! Then, there's this nugget:
"'We were told never to go negative or contrast with other candidates,' a person close to Sanders' campaign told POLITICO. 'Bernie would let us know when it was O.K.. So if that’s happening, he's aware.'"
That this source is apparently in a position to know about any such a script but clearly has no knowledge of it--if he did, that's what would be quoted--should have inspired a pause. If volunteers were told not to do what the alleged script instructs them to do, that should immediately raise a range of questions about that document. Instead, the writers simply use the latter assertion, which may or may not be based on anything, to treat information that potentially refutes their story into something damning that feeds it. A big portion of the article is devoted to asserting the script represents a significant shift in the race--the end of the non-aggression pact between Sanders and Warren--and teasing out implications from that, but the script itself is, as described, simply too innocuous to bear this interpretation and the extended punditry based on it is built on nothing.

Did the "journalists" try to contact any Sanders volunteers and ask about this? Their story gives no indication of any such thing but in its aftermath, scores of Sanders volunteers have hit Twitter, asserting that they'd never gotten anything like the alleged script and that it contradicted the instructions they had been given. ABC News reported that "several Sanders volunteers contacted by ABC News about the script said that they did not recognize such talking points." In a series of tweets, Eric Isaac of the Kings County Democratic Committee in New York--and a Sanders volunteer--offered an explanation of the origin of the document:
"A random user who's only ever posted once before posted that document in the Sanders volunteer Slack group. A moderator promptly removed it and stated that it was NOT a campaign source."
Issac writes that "Bernie is not sending his volunteers out to trash ANY candidate. We have a very strict code of conduct on how we MUST interact with voters if we want to be part of the campaign."

Issac's thread was widely circulated and Alex Thompson eventually responded to it, tweeting "Fwiw, this popular thread is not true. Attacking reporting and pushing misinformation is not just a right-wing phenomenon." Not a good look, nor was his trashing "Bernie trolls." In none of his tweets does Thompson establish any provenance for the alleged script--they're as blank on that as his article--and his defense of his story is just astonishing:
"I provided all the info to Bernie's camp before publishing & they didn't deny its authenticity. The doc had 'Paid for by Bernie 2020'"
Well, I guess that settles that, doesn't it?

PAID FOR BY BERNIE 2020.

See? This article was produced by the Sanders campaign too! For something Thompson now seems to think is critically important in establishing the origin of the document--it's the only piece of information to that end he's offered--he and Otterbein had failed to provide even that tidbit in their article.

Here's something that shouldn't have to be explained: regardless of what Politico "journalists" think, it isn't up to Sanders to prove he didn't kill Cock Robin.

Things That Shouldn't Have To Be Explained #2: The Sanders campaign can't deny a story if they've been given no story to deny. A nationwide presidential campaign is a vast enterprise involving hundreds of people. If Sanders says his campaign isn't using any such document then it turns out some low-level volunteer has been passing the script around the half-dozen members of the Northeast Bainbridge For Bernie group, Sanders is the one who ends up with egg on his face (and, per usual, days of negative press). Sanders alluded to this himself in Iowa City, Iowa on Sunday:
"Look, I just read about it. We have over 500 people on our campaign. People do certain things. I'm sure that in Elizabeth’s campaign, people do certain things as well. But you have heard me for months. I have never said a negative word about Elizabeth Warren, who is a friend of mine. We have differences of issues, that's what the campaign is about. But no one is going to be attacking Elizabeth."
Sanders reiterated that "Elizabeth Warren is a very good friend of mine... We will debate the issues. No one is going to trash Elizabeth." He called the whole matter "a bit of a media blow-up," and given the available facts, that's impossible to dispute. Nothing about the document except what it says has been established by the reporting--it's a scandal that the story was published in this form--and even if it turned out to be real Sanders campaign material, it's utterly innocuous.

Elizabeth Warren's immediate reaction to the original article was unfortunate; she embraced Politico's tendentious characterization and immediately went negative on Sanders:
"I was disappointed to hear that Bernie is sending his volunteers out to trash me. Bernie knows me, and has known me for a long time... Democrats want to win in 2020. We all saw the impact of the factionalism in 2016, and we can’t have a repeat of that. Democrats need to unite our party. We cannot nominate someone who takes big chunks of the Democratic Coalition for granted. We need someone who will bring our party together. We need someone who will excite every part of the Democratic Party, someone who will be there. Someone that every Democrat can believe in. I hope Bernie reconsiders and turns his campaign in a different direction."
This "unity" talk, of course, rings rather hollow in the face of the ugly invocation of the (false) Clinton cult narrative that Sanders was responsible for Donald Trump's election. That is, in fact, the most inflammatory charge in Democratic politics for the last few years and while no one should begrudge Warren the right to a reasoned defense of the campaign she's trying to build, this doesn't qualify, and by immediately going nuclear, she probably did herself a lot of harm. She then made things worse by sending out a fundraising letter repeating it: "Let’s be clear: As a party, and as a country, we can’t afford to repeat the factionalism of the 2016 primary." Other Warren surrogates poured on the flames as well. The New York Times reported that "a top Warren supporter in Iowa, State Senator Claire Celsi... said she was unsurprised that the Sanders campaign was leveling it. 'Doesn't surprise me about Bernie,' she said. 'He went straight to the gutter with Hillary. More of the same.'" Julian Castro, who recently dropped out of the presidential race and is now acting as a Warren surrogate, told Politico he was "disappointed that Bernie would go negative on somebody that he’s known for a long time, and worked with, and whose character he must certainly know is good."

Thompson/Otterbeing reported that Castro comment in their follow-up article, devoted to Warren's response to the initial controversy. It's another gratuitously combative piece. Sanders, the authors write, "seemed to attribute the script, which read 'PAID FOR BY BERNIE 2020,' to a rogue employee"--the first appearance in a formal article of that "paid for" line. They quote Sanders saying "[n]o one is going to be attacking Elizabeth," then counter it with "Not everyone on Sanders’ campaign staff fell in line, however," and quote remarks by national press secretary Briahna Joy Gray in which she wasn't attacking Warren, merely pointing out the hazards of nominating, in the face of Trump, a "candidate who people don't feel so strongly abt," which not only seems an obvious concern for those who want to defeat Trump but one it would be irresponsible not to consider. Making these arguments, evaluating them and picking a strong candidate is supposed to be the point of a primary.

The press loves conflict--it's what sells--but artificially manufacturing conflict isn't journalism. However problematic it may be, it is the right of Politico to be editorially hostile to Sanders and to progressives in general. Crafting what are supposed to be straight news reports around that hostility is much more problematic, and the kind of journalistic misbehavior that has so often entailed is certainly something that should be called out. Add this one to the pile.

--j.

---

UPDATE (14 Jan., 2019) - Today, Thompson/Otterbein are reporting in Politico that "the controversial talking points attacking Elizabeth Warren that Bernie Sanders' campaign deployed were given to teams in at least two early voting states on Friday, three Sanders campaign officials confirmed."

That's the sort of thing that should have been established before the original story was ever published. Having finally gotten this confirmation, the authors write that "some Sanders’ supporters claimed over the weekend that the campaign script wasn't genuine and that the story was false," which doesn't address any of the legitimate problems with their initial story or acknowledge that those problems generated legitimate skepticism.

Moreover, the vagueness that plagued their earlier work continues. "Volunteers and staffers used the script on Saturday while canvassing for votes, meaning the talking points were more official than what Sanders previously suggested after POLITICO reported on the language." They hadn't previously established it was official, only asserted it. Their new report is that the script was used by canvassers in two states--they provide no information on how extensively--and that it was sent out on Friday night, used for one day, Saturday, then discontinued that night. Does use of the script extend beyond that one day? Who knows? Not, apparently, Thompson/Otterbein. They say the script was issued by "the Sanders campaign" but don't get any more specific than that, then, according to two Sanders officials, it was withdrawn and replaced--more specific. The vagueness here is perhaps less important; Sanders is the candidate and he's ultimately responsible for his campaign, whether he knew what was up at the time or not. The new narrative, that the script was used for one day in two--or parts of two--states, takes an awfully small original tale and makes it even smaller. It could be that the script was more widely used and Thompson/Otterbein only went with this because that's the information they were able to dig up but the fact that the small scale of this usage is all they have even days later suggests that the authors, at the time of their original piece, didn't report on it being used anywhere because they didn't actually know it was being used anywhere.

The tendentiousness of the original piece is still firmly in place. The script is still described as "controversial," as "attacking Elizabeth Warren" and containing "attacks on the electability of Warren." The piece says the script "described Warren's appeal as limited to the highly educated and financially well off," when the script had only actually noted that this was the following Warren had drawn--again, an entirely uncontroversial fact--and expressed concern based on this.

Thursday, November 7, 2019

Fading, Failing, In Trouble: Bernie Sanders' American Crisis

In the relentlessly negative corporate press treatment of Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign, there has developed a number of genres. One consists of stories on the campaign that ignore the fact that Sanders exists--the Bernie Blackout redux. Another prolific one is stories that downplay or dismiss Sanders' chances. Still another is the one I'm going to highlight here: stories that portray Sanders as losing, as failing, as in disarray, as in trouble--Sanders in perpetual crisis.

The purpose here isn't to offer an exhaustive analysis of this phenomenon; there's simply too much of it--and too few hours in the day--for this writer to comprehensively cover it. To keep the material at a manageable level, I've opted to focus only on one aspect of this: headlines that declare Sanders to be somehow in crisis. Nearly all of them are from 2019. This is not, by any stretch, a complete listing of them. These kinds of headlines have been a running joke among progressives for much of this year but when, in September, the number of them really increased, it seemed a good idea to call some attention to them. This is the fruit of, cumulatively, maybe 90 minutes of casual Googling, most of it using Google's somewhat imperfect date parameters for the months of this year (usually set for two of them at a time).

Randy Bish cartoon, Westfield Free Press-Courier (17 June, 2016)

After the end of Sanders' 2016 primary campaign, his supporters founded a new group, Our Revolution, which described its mission thusly:

"Through supporting a new generation of progressive leaders, empowering millions to fight for progressive change and elevating the political consciousness, Our Revolution will transform American politics to make our political and economic systems once again responsive to the needs of working families."

Politico wasn't having any of that. On 23 Aug., 2016--the day before it officially launched--Politico responded with an article, "Bernie Sanders' New Group Is Already In Turmoil."

Politico returned for another round on 29 May, 2017,"Sanders Revolution Hits A Rough Patch."

On 21 May, 2018, as Our Revolution was endorsing progressive candidates around the U.S. for that year's elections, Politico struck again: "Bernie's Army In Disarray."

A few months later, on 8 Aug., 2018, more of the same: "Bernie and His Army Are Losing 2018."

Such headlines proliferated during the 2018 congressional cycle. At the time, Justin Anderson of Fairness & Accuracy In Reporting covered the press proclivity towards "writing premature obituaries for the Democratic left," and these kinds of All Things Progressive Are Dead stories have only continued since. Sanders In Perpetual Crisis has emerged as the current cycle's major manifestation of the phenomenon.

On 19 Jan,, 2019, MSNBC contributor Jason Johnson appeared on MTP Daily and, asked about how Elizabeth Warren's entry into the race will affect Sanders' upcoming presidential campaign, offered this assessment: "He's done.... I was literally having this conversation with a good contact who's on the campaign. I was like 'I see Bernie Sanders launching his campaign and by August realizing he won't be in the top 5 in Iowa and dropping out.' I don't think he'll get that far."

On 19 Feb., Bernie Sanders officially entered the presidential race. I wrote at the time about how the Washington Post greeted this news with a flood of articles completely dismissing Sanders.[see Appendix] As usual, Sanders eschewed the corrupt big-money fundraising that has become a woefully standard practice in U.S. politics in favor of grassroots crowdfunding his campaign, with most of his support coming from small donations from supporters. In his first day alone, Sanders raised a staggering $6 million, on his way to raising $10 million from 359,914 individual donors in his first 6 days.

On 21 Feb., in the middle of that incredible windfall, Clintonite-right columnist Froma Harrop boldly declared, "Bernie Sanders, It's Over."

That day, execrable alt-right outlet Breitbart was barking up the same tree: "Donald Trump: 'Bernie's Going to Start to Fade'."

The Week, 11 March: "Bernie Sanders Has Already Lost More Than Half of His 2016 Supporters."

CNN, 20 March: "Polls show Bernie Sanders Popularity Among All Voters Is Plummeting."

That was written by Clintonite-right pollster Harry Enten and was then picked up by delighted far-right outlets:

Newmax, 20 March: "CNN: Polls Show Bernie Sanders' Popularity Dropping."

The Daily Wire, 22 March: "Sad Socialist: New Presidential Polls Show Declining Support For Bernie Sanders."

On 16 April, the first-quarter fundraising numbers for the presidential candidates were released. Sanders led the pack with over $18 million.

CNN, 29 May: "The Incredible Shrinking ... Bernie Sanders?"

The Washington Post, 29 May: "Bernie Sanders Revolution Stalls."

Bloomberg, 10 June: "Is Bernie Sanders Finished?"

Harrop was back on 18 June: "Many Democrats Happy to See Bernie Sanders on the Downward Slope."

The same day, the New York Post approvingly editorialized and expanded on Harrop with "Why So Many Democrats Are Glad To See Bernie Falling and Other Commentary."

Fox News, 28 June: "Juan Williams: Warren 'Rising' As Sanders 'Fades' In 2020 Field." (28 June, 2019)

The Hill, 3 July: "Sanders Slips In Polls, Raising Doubts About Campaign."

CNN, 3 July: "Bernie Sanders 2020 Is In Big Trouble."

The Hill, 10 July: "Billionaire Democratic Donor: Bernie Sanders Is A 'Disaster Zone.'"

On 20 July, Gallup reported that Sanders was the 2020 candidate most liked by the public. This did nothing to slow the roll of these articles.

Politics USA, 8 Aug.: "Joe Biden Leads, Elizabeth Warren Surges, And Bernie Sanders Fades In Iowa."

Liz Peek column at Fox News, 3 Sept.: "Bye-Bye Bernie – Dems Won't Nominate Socialist Senator To Run Against Trump."

The Week, 5 Sept.: "Why Bernie Sanders Is Stalled."

Politico, 17 Sept.: "Sanders Campaign Wracked By Dissension."

A headline on Sean Hannity's site on 18 Sept. declares "Fading Bernie."

Vanity Fair, 18 Sept.: "Is Bernie Sanders Beginning To Flail?"

The next day, 19 Sept., Sanders became the first presidential campaign of the cycle to hit 1 million individual donors. That same day:

CNN, 19 Sept.: "Why is Bernie Sanders Stuck in Neutral?" That's Chris Cillizza--like CNN's Harry Enten, a very anti-Sanders commentator. His same piece, in video form, was put up elsewhere on CNN under the headline, "Has Bernie Sanders Run Out of Gas?"

The Columbus Dispatch, 19 Sept.: "Sanders Campaign Turmoil As Iowa Political Director Out."

National Review, 26 Sept.: "The Beginning of Bernie's End."

Politico, 30 Sept.: "Bernie Sanders Is In Trouble."


The Washington Free Beacon, echoing Politico, 20 Sept.: "Sanders Campaign in Disarray as Warren Rises."

On 1 Oct., the candidates released their third-quarter numbers; Sanders had raised $25.3 million--by far the most of the Democratic candidates. That same day in the Daily Wire: "Is Bernie Over? Sanders Campaign Might Be Nearing Its End."

Later that day, Sanders was taken to the hospital with chest pains; it was eventually revealed he'd had a heart attack. The next day (2 Oct.) the "conservative Christian" news site NOQ Report declared, "Bernie Sanders Is Done."

Sanders rebounded quickly, saying he "was back." On 10 Oct., CNN wrote, "Bernie Sanders Says He's Back. Is He?"

That question seemed to be answered on 19 Oct., when, in New York, Sanders held what became the biggest rally of the entire presidential cycle to date. Nearly 26,000 people showed up, topping even the crowds drawn by the sitting incumbent president.

And the next day, NBC was back to the usual: "Bernie Sanders Struggles To Rebound: Staffing, Strategy, Health."

These examples come from a wide variety of sources--straight news stories and op-eds, major news outlets and some smaller specialty operations, etc. Politically, they range from far-right to Clintonite-right (progressive outlets don't seem compelled to wallow in this).  Their root in anti-progressive ideology is really their only common feature. When it comes to presenting Sanders as in crisis, the Hillary Clinton brigade is indistinguishable from the white nationalists of Breitbart. Or Trump himself. They're all telling exactly the same story.

Whatever one thinks of these articles on their individual merits, this is, as a genre, gaslighting. Since the day Sanders announced his candidacy, he's has been a top-3 Democratic candidate. Month after month, poll after poll, he's been one of the leaders in the pack but this is the story the press is choosing, over and over again, to tell, a narrative that, being based in ideology, seems impervious to good news for the Sanders campaign, which I've sprinkled through this presentation. No matter what happens, he's failing, in disarray, losing, in trouble--basically, over.

That needs to change.

--j.

---

APPENDIX

The article in which I wrote about the Post's handling of Sanders' 2020 campaign launch is somewhat lengthy and deals with a lot of other subjects. Some of the articles, published by the Post in the first two days of Sanders' campaign, belong among those I've covered here. Rather than pull them out and insert rewritten summaries of them in the timeline above, I've simply reproduced them here in their complete context (alongside some articles that perhaps fall outside the relatively narrow scope of this one):

A few years ago in Harper's, Thomas Frank documented the absolute visceral hatred of Bernie Sanders that editorially emanated from the Washington Post during the 2016 primary season. The Post wasn't very happy with Sanders joining the 2020 race either. From virtually the moment the news was announced, the Post began generating a string of anti-Sanders op-eds and analyses:

"The Daily 202: The Biggest Challenge Facing Bernie Sanders 2.0," in which James Hohmann asserts that "most Democratic strategists, analysts and insiders see Bernie’s quest as quixotic." Hohmann compares Sanders to Rick Santorum, a fringe reactionary loon who carried out two unsuccessful Republican presidential campaigns. He drags out most of the cliche's of the pour-cold-water-on-Sanders-2020 press, offering the "Sanders is a victim of his own success" trope, the "Sanders will face more scrutiny" trope (in which he brings up the sexual harassment business from 2016), points out that Sanders is old, Sanders will "again take heat for past apostasies on immigration and guns," and so on. Hohmann dives into complete Clinton cult fantasy when he asserts that Sanders "enters the race with high negatives, limiting his upside potential... [M]any from the party establishment... blamed him for their defeat," and he quotes Hillary Clinton on the point! As I've covered so often it's become a trope of my own, Sanders is overwhelmingly popular in the Democratic party. The notion of "high negatives" is a flat-out lie. And yes, Hohmann goes here too: "Another factor that still annoys many Democrats: He is not a registered Democrat," which is hardly meaningful, as Sanders' state of Vermont doesn't have party registration. Hohmann concludes by pointing out Sanders' difficulties attracting African-American voters in 2016 (which is largely a myth--Sanders won young black voters but lost the more numerous and active old ones), and ignores the last two years of polling data, which has shown Sanders' popularity among African-Americans has hovered around 70% (it's at 68% in the most recent Harvard/Harris poll).

Eugene Scott does the same thing in "Bernie Sanders Struggled To Win Black Voters. It Could Be Even More Difficult In 2020."

Then, there's "Bernie, Your Moment Has Come--And Gone," in which David Von Drehle compares Bernie Sanders to Eugene McCarthy, who saw brief, flash-in-the-pan success in the 1968 presidential campaign only to pursue multiple subsequent--and wildly unsuccessful--presidential campaigns. "Sanders will find, like gruff Gene, that his moment is gone, his agenda absorbed by more plausible candidates, his future behind him. Only the residue of unslaked ambition remains."

"Bernie Sanders Is Probably Just Another One-Hit Wonder," in which Henry Olsen offers the Sanders "victim of his own success" cliche by analogizing Sanders to a musical act. "Sanders’s songs are not novel. Just as the Beatles begat a host of imitators, it seems that virtually every Democratic contender sings some sort of Bernie-inspired tune. He launches a new single, 'Medicare-for-all,' and suddenly most other Democrats are covering it." All that's required for Olsen to have a point is a world in which the Beatles are forgotten by history while everyone listens to the Monkees. He brings up Eugene McCarthy and Rick Santorum too.

"Bernie Sanders Is No Big Deal the Second Time Around," in which Jennifer Rubin just repeats some of the standard talk-it-down tropes, adding nothing original. It's mostly noteworthy because Rubin, a conservative, repeats the identity attacks of the Clintonite right.

Back in January, when Kamala Harris raised $1.5 million in the first 24 hours of her campaign, the press cooed. That matched Sanders' first-day haul from 2016, which was thought to be a record. Sanders 2020 promptly buried that record, raising $5.9 million from--also probably a record--223,000 donors (Harris had only 38,000 donors). Given that fundraising is one of the major metrics by which the corporate press measures success and viability, one would think this would inspire some humility by the journalists, pundits, outlets that had spent so much time pouring cold water on his campaign's chances.

Yeah, right.

Jennifer Rubin was right back with another cooler-full with "Why Sanders Money Haul Doesn't Mean Very Much," in which she assured readers that Sanders' "Democratic opponents shouldn’t be surprised or concerned." But she's a snowball--or a snowflake--in Hell on this one; here's what she has to say about Sanders raising nearly 4 times the previous record:

"For someone with nearly universal name recognition, an extensive donor list and a long run-up to his announcement, Sanders’s haul shouldn't impress knowledgeable political watchers."
And...
"(Should Joe Biden announce, I would bet his 24-hour fundraising total will dwarf Sanders’s total. A former vice president shouldn't have to lift a finger to trigger a flood of money.)"
...the petulance of which is just, well, you get the picture. Rubin goes on to argue that, suddenly, money isn't really that important in political campaigns, and gosh-darn it, Sanders can't win black voters.

Monday, September 16, 2019

On Medicare For All, CNN's Enten Is Ridin' With Biden

Corporate press hostility to the Medicare For All healthcare plan favored by progressives--and to pretty much everything else favored by progressives--is as inevitable as death and taxes, and on Saturday, Harry Enten ground out a tendentious CNN article that makes a complete hash of the issue at every turn. At this week's Democratic presidential debate, candidates Elizabeth Warren and Bernie Sanders pointed out that people like their doctors, not their insurance companies. Enten sets out to "correct" this under the headline, "Warren and Sanders Say Americans Don't Like Their Health Insurance. Polls Don't Back That Up."

Some background here: As part of his presidential campaign, former Vice President Joe Biden has been attempting to counter calls for M4A by propagating a "healthcare plan" that merely tinkers around the edges of the Affordable Care Act (and like the ACA, leaves millions of Americans with nothing). Biden has embraced Donald Trump's Orwellian mischaracterization of M4A as a thing that takes away health coverage from millions of people (because private insurance for the services covered by the program would be eliminated). Perhaps most egregiously, he's been falsely insisting that progressives want to repeal the ACA and leave people with nothing while they spend years trying, with a questionable chance of success, to pass a M4A plan. In this way, he equates the advocacy for M4A with Republican efforts to simply do away with the ACA. He presents himself as the defender of the ACA and Obama's legacy and says he prefers to build on the ACA instead.

M4A doesn't take away anyone's coverage, of course; it extends coverage to everyone. No one has even suggested the course of action re:passing M4A that Biden describes. M4A is meant to succeed the ACA and, progressives have argued, build on it, and it provides health coverage for everyone. The ACA's supporters don't see this sharp dichotomy Biden has tried to foster; more than 2/3rds of the ACA's co-sponsors in congress are now supporting M4A and Barack Obama himself has said M4A is a "good, new idea."[1]

Biden's entire narrative is just a politically-motivated fiction.

That brings us to Enten, who isn't interested in details like this. Rather, he seems to see his job as merely being to sell that Biden narrative. He leads by focusing on an awful question Kaiser asked in a new poll
"A new Kaiser Family Foundation poll finds that when it comes to expanding coverage and lowering health care costs 55% of Democrats and Democratic leaning independents prefer to vote for a candidate who does so by building on the Affordable Care Act. Only 40% want do so by voting for voting for a candidate who replaces the ACA with Medicare for All."[2]
Using the completely dishonest Biden framing of the issue, the only thing this question's responses revealed is the reason Biden is peddling that false narrative in the first place: if he can get people to believe it, more of them side with him. As progressives see it, they are building on the ACA with M4A. Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren have explicitly said so. One can certainly debate the soundness of that proposition--there are arguments to be made on both sides--but the decision to represent the issue in the way Kaiser did is strictly ideological. It's choosing a side and pretending as if the other doesn't exist.  Besides being so problematic in itself, this also makes mincemeat out of the results. Those who don't see their advocacy of M4A as some effort to do away with the ACA--at a time when the ACA is at the height of its popularity--will be resistant to characterizing their own view as doing so. Kaiser generally does excellent work when it comes to the polling on these matters. That question was definitely an exception. Enten, who never does excellent work on anything, understands all of this. He's a pollster. He doesn't question the reasonableness of framing the issue in this way though, merely goes with it as if it's a legitimate measure of what people think. It reaches the conclusion he prefers.

Though Enten's headline sounds rather immediate, he primarily relies, for its conclusion, on a Kaiser poll from over 6 years ago:
"It turns out that Kaiser posed this question to Americans back in 2013 'Do you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable opinion of your own health insurance company?'

"In that poll, 72% of Democrats they had a favorable view of their health insurance company. That's triple the 24% who said they had an unfavorable view."
Some points:

--That same poll found that a plurality of respondents--49%--had a negative opinion of health insurance companies in general, with only 43% saying they had a positive view of them.

--Significantly, the poll also suggests that opinions about insurance companies are tied to the extent to which people have to deal with them. Among those who had tried to purchase insurance in the three years previous to the poll, 59% expressed an unfavorable opinion of the companies.

--Enten misrepresents the finding about those who have a favorable opinion of their health insurance; that question was asked of the insured, not of "Democrats."

--Maybe most importantly, while that overwhelming majority did say they had a favorable view of their own insurance company, the same poll also asked respondents what was most important to them in an insurance plan, and at the top of the responses sits choice of doctors, coverage for a wide range of services, being able to go to the hospital you prefer without paying more, etc.--all things also provided by M4A. Progressives have argued that when people say they like their insurance coverage, this is what they're actually valuing, not their insurance company itself--they like having health care, not necessarily private insurance--and this data suggests that is correct. Enten never outlines any of this, the very argument advanced by Warren and Sanders; he just represents the poll as refuting Warren and Sanders!

It gets worse:
"Polls like the one I just cited indicate that the candidates who favor a public option hold the majority opinion within the Democratic Party."
Though Enten forgets to mention it while making that kind of sweeping statement, the same Kaiser poll with which he began asked about this and found that very large majorities of Democrats support both "Medicare For All" and the "public option" approach, and by lopsided margins.:


To note the obvious, that's going to be mostly the same people supporting both. Most Democratic respondents don't see them as either/or. They see both as policies that would improve healthcare. The public option performs slightly better among them because it also draws in some people who aren't comfortable with M4A and is probably seen as more immediately doable, as that's how it's rather relentlessly sold to the public. That puts the ball in the court of M4A advocates to explain their idea and make a case for it being the best. Most Americans have already accepted the premise of the policy, that health care is a human right and that it is the responsibility of the government to ensure people have it.

Enten never acknowledges that. He never acknowledges M4A's overwhelming popularity among Democrats either, though he does try to undermine it and suggest it--whatever it is--is all a mirage:
"Our CNN poll from late June directly posed the question to potential Democratic primary voters. We asked whether there should be a national health care plan and whether it should replace private insurance. The plurality, 49%, said there should be a government health care plan but it shouldn't eliminate private insurance. Just 30% said there should be a national health care plan and it should eliminate private insurance. A mere 13% didn't want a government run health care plan."[3]
To elicit those responses, that CNN poll specifically asked, "if the government instituted a national health insurance program for all Americans, do you think that program should or should not completely replace private health insurance?" But Medicare For All doesn't "completely replace private health insurance"; it replaces private health insurance that duplicates coverage provided by the M4A program. Insurance companies could continue to offer coverage for services outside those covered by M4A. "Completely replace" misrepresents the policy in a prejudicial way and is also very strong language, both of which queer results--again, all things Enten, as a pollster, knows. If--perish the thought--one suspected Enten was dishonest, one may even suspect he left that "completely" out of his recitation of the results on purpose.

Medicare For All has enjoyed majority public support for years now and Democratic support for it is staggering. That CNN poll also asked, "Do you think the government should provide a national health insurance program for all Americans, even if this would require higher taxes?" Even with that "taxes" language, 56% of respondents, 87% of Democrats and 85% of Democratic leaners answered in the affirmative. What people mean when they say they support "Medicare For All" is obviously a legitimate question. It just isn't one with which Enten, while pretending to address the matter, ever properly engages.

In July, Morning Consult released the best recent poll we have on this. It asked respondents if they would support a Medicare For All system, a M4A system that diminishes the role of private insurance and a M4A system that diminishes the role of private insurance but allowed you to keep your doctor and hospital. The results:



The third option, which is the most accurate and detailed description, polls the strongest across the board, and the results add weight to that progressive argument around which Entent attempted an end-run, that when people say they like their insurance company, they're really just saying they like their doctors, hospitals, etc. Enten doesn't reference the Morning Consult poll.

Enten wears his purpose on his sleeve perhaps most prominently in his big finale:
"This polling ... might also explain why Biden continues to lead the Democratic race. He's closer to the median voter on the marquee issue this primary season than either his two leading competitors Sanders or Warren.

"If Sanders or Warren win the nomination, it will be in spite of their health care positions, not because of them... Perhaps the best hope for Sanders and Warren is to not make health care personal... But when you propose eliminating private insurance, it's pretty hard not to make it personal to the many voters who rely on it."
Enten sells himself as a "data journalist" but while that label conjures images of some disinterested scientist who carefully crunches numbers and draws conclusions from them, Enten is selective in his use of numbers, outright terrible in his analysis, sloppy in his writing and what he's peddling under that "data journalist" label is, more often than not, just unacknowledged ideology.

--j.

---

[1] It isn't really a new idea--such systems first began appearing in the 19th century. It isn't new for Obama either. In 2003, before he was elected to the U.S. Senate, Obama himself supported it.

[2] All the weird errors there--duplicating words, leaving out words--are in the original.

[3] By the way, the CNN poll in question is located here; the link Enten erroneously provides goes to a story written months before the poll had even been conducted.